Moby Tick Weekly Dark Pool Report — Week of March 16-20, 2026

Last Week Callout Performance

Mar 9-13 setups vs Mar 16-20 results

BULLISH: 4/13 triggered | 8 targets hit
BEARISH: 9/13 triggered | 28 targets hit
OVERALL: 13/26 setups triggered. Bearish side dominated.

Ticker	Bull Trigger	Result	Bear Trigger	Result
SPY	$680	No trigger	$670	T5 – all targets to $657.50
QQQ	$610	No trigger	$597.50	T5 – all targets to $585
IWM	$255	No trigger	$250	T4 – hit to $242
NVDA	$180	T5 – hit $187.50	$177	T2 – hit to $173
RTX	$215	No trigger	$209	T5 – all targets to $197.50
WDAY	$154	No trigger	$140	T4 – hit to $130
NOW	$125	No trigger	$114	T2 – hit to $110
PANW	$167.50	T1 – hit $170	$160	No trigger
DDOG	$127.50	T2 – hit $132.50	$120	No trigger
CRM	$201.25	Triggered	$189	No trigger
IOT	$36	No trigger	$33	T1 – hit $32
PINS	$20.50	No trigger	$18.50	Triggered
ORCL	$160	No trigger	$140	No trigger

HIGHLIGHT: NVDA was the only double trigger.

Market Overview

S&P 500 fell 1.5% Friday, fourth straight losing week.

Iran War: Iraq force majeure. Strait of Hormuz disrupted.
Oil Surging: Higher oil = no rate cuts.
BofA: Rate HIKE possible.
$20B Fund Outflows: US equity $24.78B.
Junk Bonds: $5.2B pulled.
Flight to Safety: $5.12B gov bonds, $3.9B IG.
SMCI Arrests: -35% on the week.

Trade Callouts — March 23-27

Bullish Setups (Above Trigger)

Ticker	Price	Trigger	T1	T2	T3	T4	T5	T6
SPY	$648.57	$662.50	$664	$667.50	$669	$672.50	$675
QQQ	$587.12	$595	$597.50	$600	$602.50	$605	$607.50	$610
IWM	$242.22	$251.25	$255	$256.25	$257.50	$260	$262.50	$265
NVDA	$174.90	$180	$181.25	$182.50	$185	$187.50	$190
AVGO	$313.10	$325	$330	$335	$340	$347	$350	$360
MSFT	$383.51	$390	$392.50	$395	$396.75	$400	$405	$410
XLE	$59.31	$60.50	$61.25	$62.50	$65	$67.50	$68.25
SMCI	$20.91	$24	$25	$26	$27	$28	$29	$30
UNH	$278.11	$290	$292.50	$295	$297.50	$300	$302.50	$305
AMZN	$207.10	$210	$212.50	$213.25	$215	$217.50	$220
GLD	$413.38	$428	$430	$435	$440	$445	$450	$458.75

Bearish Setups (Below Trigger)

Ticker	Price	Trigger	T1	T2	T3	T4	T5	T6
SPY	$648.57	$642.50	$640	$635	$632.50	$630	$620	$612.50
QQQ	$587.12	$578.50	$575	$572.50	$570	$565	$560	$550
IWM	$242.22	$240	$235	$232.50	$230	$225	$220
NVDA	$174.90	$170	$167.50	$165	$162.50	$160	$155.50	$150
AVGO	$313.10	$307.50	$300	$295	$285	$275
MSFT	$383.51	$380	$377.50	$375	$370	$365	$360
XLE	$59.31	$58	$57.50	$57	$56
SMCI	$20.91	$20	$19	$18	$17	$16	$15	$12.50
UNH	$278.11	$275	$272.50	$270	$265	$260	$250
AMZN	$207.10	$205	$202.50	$200	$197.50	$195	$190
GLD	$413.38	$411	$407.50	$402.50	$400	$392.50	$387.50	$380

Trade Setups — March 23-27

All data verified against closing prices.

$SPY — $648.57

44.6M shares | $29.3B | 36 prints | Inst Avg $657.46

▲ Bullish above $662.50 → $664, $667.50, $669, $672.50, $675

▼ Bearish below $642.50 → $640, $635, $632.50, $630, $620, $612.50

$QQQ — $587.12

16.8M shares | $9.9B | 42 prints | Inst Avg $591.87

▲ Bullish above $595 → $597.50, $600, $602.50, $605, $607.50, $610

▼ Bearish below $578.50 → $575, $572.50, $570, $565, $560, $550

$IWM — $242.22

29.4M shares | $7.3B | 66 prints | Inst Avg $246.65

▲ Bullish above $251.25 → $255, $256.25, $257.50, $260, $262.50, $265

▼ Bearish below $240 → $235, $232.50, $230, $225, $220

$NVDA — $174.90

15.2M shares | $2.7B | 48 prints | Inst Avg $178.56

▲ Bullish above $180 → $181.25, $182.50, $185, $187.50, $190

▼ Bearish below $170 → $167.50, $165, $162.50, $160, $155.50, $150

$AVGO — $313.10

10.8M shares | $3.5B | 13 prints | Inst Avg $321.60

▲ Bullish above $325 → $330, $335, $340, $347, $350, $360

▼ Bearish below $307.50 → $300, $295, $285, $275

$MSFT — $383.51

2.9M shares | $1.1B | 10 prints | Inst Avg $387.36

▲ Bullish above $390 → $392.50, $395, $396.75, $400, $405, $410

▼ Bearish below $380 → $377.50, $375, $370, $365, $360

$XLE — $59.31

6.4M shares | $383M | 10 prints | Inst Avg $59.70

▲ Bullish above $60.50 → $61.25, $62.50, $65, $67.50, $68.25

▼ Bearish below $58 → $57.50, $57, $56

$SMCI — $20.91

3.2M shares | $76M | 3 prints | Inst Avg $23.39

▲ Bullish above $24 → $25, $26, $27, $28, $29, $30

▼ Bearish below $20 → $19, $18, $17, $16, $15, $12.50

$UNH — $278.11

3.6M shares | $1.0B | 11 prints | Inst Avg $282.20

▲ Bullish above $290 → $292.50, $295, $297.50, $300, $302.50, $305

▼ Bearish below $275 → $272.50, $270, $265, $260, $250

$AMZN — $207.10

7.3M shares | $1.5B | 18 prints | Inst Avg $208.12

▲ Bullish above $210 → $212.50, $213.25, $215, $217.50, $220

▼ Bearish below $205 → $202.50, $200, $197.50, $195, $190

$GLD — $413.38

6.0M shares | $2.6B | 25 prints | Inst Avg $430.45

▲ Bullish above $428 → $430, $435, $440, $445, $450, $458.75

▼ Bearish below $411 → $407.50, $402.50, $400, $392.50, $387.50, $380

Deep Dives

$SPY — Late Prints + OPEX + Ex-Dividend

36 prints | 44.6M shares | $29.3B | Bullish above $662.50 | Bearish below $642.50

10.58M shares at $658.02 (late prints from Thursday)
10.53M at $656.84
5.00M at $652.75 — $3.26B single print
2.94M at $656.83

$XLE — Energy Surges

10 prints | 6.4M shares | $383M | Bullish above $60.50 | Bearish below $58.00

One of two sectors positive Friday. Historical prints at $55-57 including 11.56M at $56.52 Mar 3.

$NVDA — Heavy Institutional Activity

48 prints | 15.2M shares | $2.7B | Bullish above $180.00 | Bearish below $170.00

Only double trigger last week. Largest: 2.21M at $178.26 Friday.

$SMCI — DOJ Arrests

3 prints | 3.2M shares | $76M | Bullish above $24.00 | Bearish below $20.00

Co-founder charged with smuggling $2.5B Nvidia chips to China. Prints collapsed from $30-33 to $22.

Education: Understanding Late Prints

Late prints are trades that legally can be reported up to 24 hours late. We track these separately in Moby due to how important they are. They show where institutions are truly positioning.

Friday’s late prints (reported from Thursday) totaled 10.5 million shares at $658.02, valued at $7 billion.

Tracking these as lines in the sand is paramount. Late prints exist on SPY, QQQ, IWM, and DIA.

How do we know when the selloff is done? It is when we see massive prints at the bottom and we close above them.