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Market Overview
The S&P 500’s nine-week winning streak ended in dramatic fashion Friday, with a jobs report shock triggering a broad selloff. The Nasdaq suffered its worst single-day drop since April 2025.
Catalyst 1: Non-Farm Payrolls came in at 172K versus 80K expected, forcing a sharp repricing in rate expectations.
Catalyst 2: The 10-year Treasury yield jumped from 4.47% to 4.54% while DXY surged from 99.16 to 100.06.
Catalyst 3: Broadcom did not raise its AI outlook, adding pressure across the semiconductor complex. MU fell 13.9% Friday, NVDA 6.7%, INTC 13.3%, and AVGO 8.1%.
The Bottom Line
Strong payroll data, a sharp move in yields, a stronger dollar, and semiconductor weakness combined to break the market’s nine-week streak. For next week’s setups, the key question is whether price stabilizes around the published levels or extends the same volatility that defined the June 1–5 tape.
Scorecard — June 1–5 Callouts vs June 1–5 Weekly Candle
| Ticker | Above | Below | Wk High | Wk Low | Wk Close | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | $758.00 | $745.00 | $761.38 | $736.50 | $737.55 | 🔄 Both — Above +1T, Below +3T |
| QQQ | $742.50 | $729.00 | $746.25 | $705.83 | $705.06 | 🔄 Both — Above +1T, Below +6T |
| IWM | $293.00 | $285 | $292.61 | $277.98 | $281.65 | 🔴 Below — +2 targets |
| NVDA | $218 | $210 | $228.02 | $197.87 | $205.10 | 🔄 Both — Above +4T, Below +4T |
| AAPL | $315 | $305 | $315.20 | $306.25 | $307.34 | 🟢 Above — +0 targets |
| MSFT | $452.50 | $412.5 | $461.30 | $417.46 | $416.67 | 🟢 Above — +3 targets |
| DELL | $430 | $415 | $458.58 | $421.24 | $394.39 | 🟢 Above — +4 targets |
| IBM | $300 | $250 | $329.23 | $284.00 | $284.84 | 🟢 Above — +5 targets |
| F | $18 | $14.5 | $17.18 | $14.73 | $14.90 | ⚪ No trigger |
| INTC | $130 | $108 | $114.06 | $100.29 | $99.17 | 🔴 Below — +2 targets |
| MU | $985 | $887.5 | $1081.27 | $875.30 | $864.01 | 🔄 Both — Above +4T, Below +0T |
| IONQ | $72.50 | $62.50 | $71.40 | $60.50 | $56.78 | 🔴 Below — +0 targets |
| GOOGL | $392.50 | $380 | $376.37 | $358.70 | $368.53 | 🔴 Below — +4 targets |
Bullish Setups — Above Trigger
Primary levels and first targets.
| Ticker | Above | T1 | T2 | T3 | T4 | T5 | T6 | T7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | $760.00 | $762.50 | $765.00 | $760.00 | $765.00 | $770.00 | — | — |
| QQQ | $747.50 | $750.00 | $755.00 | $760.00 | $765.00 | $770.00 | — | — |
| IWM | $293.00 | $295.00 | $297.50 | $300.00 | $302.50 | $305.00 | — | — |
| GOOGL | $390 | $395 | $400 | $405 | $410 | $415 | $420 | — |
| MU | $1100 | $1125 | $1150 | $1175 | $1200 | — | — | — |
| MSFT | $440 | $445 | $450 | $455 | $460 | $465 | $470 | — |
| UNH | $405 | $410 | $412.5 | $415 | $417.5 | $420 | $425 | $430 |
| META | $630 | $635 | $640 | $642.50 | $645 | $650 | $660 | — |
| AVGO | $440 | $450 | $470 | $480 | $490 | $500 | — | — |
| WMT | $122.5 | $125 | $126.25 | $127.5 | $130 | — | — | — |
| BAC | $54.5 | $55 | $56.25 | $57.5 | $58.25 | $60 | — | — |
| AAPL | $317.5 | $320 | $322.5 | $325 | $327.5 | $330 | — | — |
| NVDA | $227.5 | $230 | $232.5 | $235 | $237.50 | $240 | — | — |
Bearish Setups — Below Trigger
Primary levels and first targets.
| Ticker | Below | T1 | T2 | T3 | T4 | T5 | T6 | T7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | $735.00 | $732.50 | $730.00 | $720.00 | $715.00 | $711.27 | $705.00 | $702.50 |
| QQQ | $700.00 | $695.00 | $690.00 | $680.00 | $675.00 | $672.70 | $670.00 | $660.00 |
| IWM | $280.00 | $275.00 | $273.00 | $270.00 | $265.00 | $260.00 | $255.00 | $250.00 |
| GOOGL | $360 | $355 | $350 | $340 | $330 | $325 | $320 | — |
| MU | $850 | $825 | $800 | $790 | $775 | $750 | $725 | $700 |
| MSFT | $405 | $400 | $395 | $390 | $385 | $380 | $370 | $366 |
| UNH | $378 | $375 | $370 | $365 | $360 | $355 | $350 | — |
| META | $587.5 | $585 | $580 | $570 | $560 | $555 | — | — |
| AVGO | $380 | $370 | $360 | $355 | $350 | — | — | — |
| WMT | $113 | $110 | $107.5 | $105 | $102.5 | $100 | $97.5 | — |
| BAC | $50 | $48.75 | $47.50 | $47 | $45 | $42.50 | — | — |
| AAPL | $305 | $302.5 | $300 | $297.5 | $295 | $292.50 | $290 | — |
| NVDA | $202.5 | $200 | $198 | $195 | $190 | $186.25 | $180 | $170 |
Individual Ticker Deep Dives
$SPY — SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Dark pool flow: $14.15B across 18.97M shares and 19 prints. Average reported print price: $746.07.
Weekly range: $761.38 – $736.50 | Friday close: $737.55 (-2.58%) | Status: BETWEEN triggers
Above $760.00 | Targets: $762.50, $765.00, $760.00, $765.00, $770.00
Below $735.00 | Targets: $732.50, $730.00, $720.00, $715.00, $711.27, $705.00, $702.50
$QQQ — Invesco QQQ Trust
Dark pool flow: $6.16B across 8.46M shares and 7 prints. Average reported print price: $728.31.
Weekly range: $746.25 – $705.83 | Friday close: $705.06 (-5.44%) | Status: BETWEEN triggers
Above $747.50 | Targets: $750.00, $755.00, $760.00, $765.00, $770.00
Below $700.00 | Targets: $695.00, $690.00, $680.00, $675.00, $672.70, $670.00, $660.00
$IWM — iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Dark pool flow: $935.6M across 3.22M shares and 5 prints. Average reported print price: $290.64.
Weekly range: $292.61 – $277.98 | Friday close: $281.65 (-3.55%) | Status: BETWEEN triggers
Above $293.00 | Targets: $295.00, $297.50, $300.00, $302.50, $305.00
Below $280.00 | Targets: $275.00, $273.00, $270.00, $265.00, $260.00, $255.00, $250.00
$GOOGL — Alphabet Inc.
Dark pool flow: $5.44B across 14.79M shares and 6 prints. Average reported print price: $367.53.
Weekly range: $376.37 – $358.70 | Friday close: $368.53 (-2.11%) | Status: BETWEEN triggers
Above $390 | Targets: $395, $400, $405, $410, $415, $420
Below $360 | Targets: $355, $350, $340, $330, $325, $320
$MU — Micron Technology
Dark pool flow: $3.57B across 3.66M shares and 7 prints. Average reported print price: $976.87.
Weekly range: $1081.27 – $875.30 | Friday close: $864.01 (-13.86%) | Status: BETWEEN triggers
Above $1100 | Targets: $1125, $1150, $1175, $1200
Below $850 | Targets: $825, $800, $790, $775, $750, $725, $700
$MSFT — Microsoft
Dark pool flow: $2.97B across 6.64M shares and 7 prints. Average reported print price: $446.61.
Weekly range: $461.30 – $417.46 | Friday close: $416.67 (-3.63%) | Status: ABOVE trigger price
Above $440 | Targets: $445, $450, $455, $460, $465, $470
Below $405 | Targets: $400, $395, $390, $385, $380, $370, $366
$UNH — UnitedHealth Group
Dark pool flow: $1.80B across 4.54M shares and 2 prints. Average reported print price: $396.90.
Weekly range: $401.30 – $375.95 | Friday close: $399.47 (+0.03%) | Status: BETWEEN triggers
Above $405 | Targets: $410, $412.5, $415, $417.5, $420, $425, $430
Below $378 | Targets: $375, $370, $365, $360, $355, $350
$META — Meta Platforms
Dark pool flow: $4.71B across 7.65M shares and 6 prints. Average reported print price: $615.63.
Weekly range: $636.26 – $589.74 | Friday close: $593.00 (-6.02%) | Status: BETWEEN triggers
Above $630 | Targets: $635, $640, $642.50, $645, $650, $660
Below $587.5 | Targets: $585, $580, $570, $560, $555
$AVGO — Broadcom
Dark pool flow: $2.29B across 5.10M shares and 7 prints. Average reported print price: $448.80.
Weekly range: $487.07 – $388.00 | Friday close: $385.73 (-8.09%) | Status: ABOVE trigger price
Above $440 | Targets: $450, $470, $480, $490, $500
Below $380 | Targets: $370, $360, $355, $350
$WMT — Walmart
Dark pool flow: $1.76B across 15.25M shares and 7 prints. Average reported print price: $115.23.
Weekly range: $120.79 – $112.85 | Friday close: $118.88 (+0.56%) | Status: BETWEEN triggers
Above $122.5 | Targets: $125, $126.25, $127.5, $130
Below $113 | Targets: $110, $107.5, $105, $102.5, $100, $97.5
$BAC — Bank of America
Dark pool flow: $736.1M across 13.93M shares and 8 prints. Average reported print price: $52.84.
Weekly range: $54.26 – $51.31 | Friday close: $53.83 (-0.86%) | Status: BETWEEN triggers
Above $54.5 | Targets: $55, $56.25, $57.5, $58.25, $60
Below $50 | Targets: $48.75, $47.50, $47, $45, $42.50
$AAPL — Apple
Dark pool flow: $5.81B across 18.75M shares and 12 prints. Average reported print price: $310.03.
Weekly range: $315.20 – $306.25 | Friday close: $307.34 (-1.11%) | Status: BETWEEN triggers
Above $317.5 | Targets: $320, $322.5, $325, $327.5, $330
Below $305 | Targets: $302.5, $300, $297.5, $295, $292.50, $290
$NVDA — NVIDIA
Dark pool flow: $9.67B across 44.16M shares and 27 prints. Average reported print price: $219.02.
Weekly range: $228.02 – $197.87 | Friday close: $205.10 (-6.69%) | Status: BETWEEN triggers
Above $227.5 | Targets: $230, $232.5, $235, $237.50, $240
Below $202.5 | Targets: $200, $198, $195, $190, $186.25, $180, $170
Why We Exclude Closing Prints
Closing prints are large batches of trades that get matched right at the end of the day, usually around the market close. They are real trades, but they often serve a different purpose than regular trading during the session.
A lot of funds, ETFs, and large money managers use closing prints because they want execution at the official closing price. That can happen for portfolio rebalancing, index tracking, ETF flows, mutual fund activity, or simply getting large size done all at once.
That matters because a closing print does not always mean someone was actively choosing that exact price as an important level for the week. Sometimes it simply means a large order needed to be completed at the close.
For level analysis, closing prints can muddy the picture in three ways:
- they can make one price look more important than it really was during normal trading
- they can pull the weekly average toward the close and distort the levels we care about
- they tell us less about where size showed up during regular session price discovery
That is why we exclude closing prints in this report. We want the cleaner picture of where meaningful size traded during the week, not just where large end-of-day orders were matched.
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Disclaimer
This report is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trading involves risk.
